Partisan Voter Registration in Arizona has been roughly divided into thirds for a very long time.
Recently, Unaffiliated has become our most popular “party”. Thirty-one states and the District of Columbia register voters with party affiliation. Arizona, is one.
With the latest release of Voter Registration, Arizona has seen a bump in registration for the No Labels Party. You may have watched it in the news:
Click to watch: Brahm Resnick on No Labels
In a state where critical races have been won and lost by razor thin margins, perdition might be a condition some of us wish upon the No Labels party. No Labels is a 501(c)4, an IRS designation intended for social clubs like Fraternities, Country Clubs and Yacht Clubs. It is the very kind of dark money group Terry Goddard fought to expose with the Stop Dark Money citizen’s initiative. Nevertheless, No Labels is here.
We know that younger voters and new voters are the ones signing up for No Labels. What that means for LD3 is…. we don’t have very many. Our largest concentration of No Labels is where we have a younger, more transient population in DC Ranch precinct (which isn’t DC Ranch) and nearby Mirada. In DC Ranch we’re talking about .3% of voters. 3 per 1000.
Around 15,000 voters are registered as No Labels in Arizona. More than the 10,457 win margin by Joe Biden in 2020. Enough to make a Biden contest losable.
In LD3, only 31% of No Labels lean D. They’ve switched from Republican or R leaning. Not so elsewhere. In some of our very blue districts the effect is very different. 81% lean D, but have switched to No Labels. They are former Dems or Dem Leaning. The potential effect on our blue districts is troublesome. That is the intention of this Yacht Club of a party. Another clue to their plan is that they are allowed to stay registered as a dark money 501(c)4. That is because they only plan on putting forth Federal candidates and are therefore not subject to Arizona’s laws on campaign finance disclosure.
The Channel 12 clip talks about the relatively high number students around ASU who have joined No Labels. There is another pocket of No Labels around Luke Air Force Base. Oddly, the precinct with the largest number of NL voters is in a small neighborhood in Mesa near Fiesta Mall.
Twenty-six percent. Of the No Labels voters who were eligible to vote in 2022, only 26% did so. Another 3% are already on the Inactive list. Will having a No Labels, ahem… label, to identify with cause them to now vote? That is the heart of the question, and we must prepare for the answer to be Yes.
By the way, what do we call these voters? No Labelers, No Labelists, Dislabeled, Generic? In deference to Chuck Berry, we could just call them Labellenes.
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